Trump Leads Among Likely Voters in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina: Poll

September 24 :
On September 23, a poll conducted by the New York Times/Siena College revealed that among the likely voters in the battleground states of North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia, Republican Donald Trump is ahead of U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris. This disparity exists six weeks prior to the presidential election on November 5.

The results of the poll, which were in line with other recent surveys showing a tight race, showed that Trump defeated his Democratic opponent by 50% to 45% in Arizona last week, 49% to 45% in Georgia, and 49% to 47% in North Carolina.

In the 2024 presidential race, these three states could be the deciding factors among seven crucial swing states. After losing to Joe Biden in 2020—a defeat he persists in blaming on vote fraud—former president Trump (2017–2021) is vying for the presidency once again. The 78-year-old ex-president is facing criminal accusations on both the federal and state levels in relation to his attempts to reverse the election outcomes.

A chance to establish a broader coalition among young folks, women, people of color, and even some Republicans was presented by 59-year-old Harris, whose candidacy revitalized the Democratic Party following 81-year-old Biden's decision to drop his re-election campaign.

Consistent with other recent national surveys, such as those conducted by Reuters/Ipsos, the poll indicates a close matchup. While rumors rocked the North Carolina gubernatorial contest, the survey was taken on September 17th and 21st.

On Thursday, CNN revealed that Mark Robinson, a Republican candidate sponsored by Trump, had previously advocated the restoration of slavery and referred to himself as a "black NAZI!" in comments made on a pornographic website. Four top aides to Robinson resigned on Sunday. According to Monday's poll, the margin of error for the 713 Arizonans surveyed is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, for the 682 Georgians and 682 North Carolinians surveyed is plus or minus 4.6 and 4.2 percentage points, respectively.