Business
Revising India's rating depends on economic growth: S&P
Global rating agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) has said that it
could raise India's sovereign rating if the economy reverts to real per
capita gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 5.5 percent.
The
rating agency in its report Asia Pacific Sovereign Rating Trends said:
"We could raise the rating if the economy reverts to a real per capita
GDP trend growth of 5.5 percent per year and fiscal, external, or
inflation metrics improve."
"Conversely, we may lower the rating
if the government's structural reform agenda stalls such that economic
growth does not accelerate, or fiscal and debt ratios fail to improve,"
S&P said.
According to S&P, the stable outlook rating for
the next 24 months reflects its views that the new BJP-led government
has both the willingness and capacity to implement reforms necessary to
restore some of India's lost growth potential.
The agency also
said the new government should also have the willingness and capacity to
consolidate its fiscal accounts and permit the Reserve Bank of India to
carry out effective monetary policy.
The S&P expects that
political developments in few Asia-Pacific sovereigns will be an
important factor in shaping credit trends in the next few years.
"New
leaders in India and Indonesia have made changes that are welcomed by
investors after they came into office in 2014," S&P said.
Further
reforms that improve the investment climate and strengthen fiscal
health in India and Indonesia could brighten long-term growth prospects.
In both countries, under-investment in infrastructure has resulted in constraints on development.
Diverting
funds from subsidies to public investment and reducing barriers faced
by businesses could unlock growth potential and strengthen credit
support for these sovereigns.












